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Friday, 1 August 2014

India defence budget analysis since 2000(Just some fun with numbers)

I have been for a couple of years been interested in our defence spending, which seems to be increasing at an average of more than 10 Percent every year. On the other hand i kept hearing about the delayed project. So i thought why don’t i do an analysis of the defence procurement starting from year 2000 onwards.



So it looks like we have spent about 452.78 billion USD so far. Idea was to check if sum of money spent on big ticket items comes close to this amount. I have taken 70% as wage cost and operational cost for defence personnel and equipment. That leaves 30% for buying new defence items i.e 135.83 billion USD. R&D cost is kept at 2% of total budget.





Data has been collated based on the following criteria.



1. Procurements done after year 2000

2. Incase of doubt the production of the item should have started after 2000

3. Numbers bought or available is taken primarily from wikipedia

4. Contract amount or item cost has been taken from wikipedia or IHS jane’s

5. Items whose numbers are in doubt like missiles have not been counted.

6. Future procurement deals are yet to be counted, assuming companies will be paid after delivery of item.

7. I have not counted new ITBP battalions on china border.

8. Equipment inducted after year 2000. For ex: All Arjun tanks&Sukhoi have been counted based on unit price, BMP2 up gradation has been counted, BMP 2 purchase could not be counted.



Year on Year India Defence Budget



Years -Defence budget (in USD Billions)

2000 -21.7

2001 -22.5

2002 -22.4

2003 -22.9

2004 -26.6

2005 -28.1

2006 -28.3

2007 -28.7

2008 -32.1

2009 -35.8

2010 -34.81

2011 -34.19

2012 -38.68

2013 -37

2014 -39



Total -452.78





List of all Major defence procurements i could gather by name and amount in USD(BILLIONS)







TOTAL PROCUREMENT BUDGET -135.834

Vikramaditya -2.350

INS CHAKRA -0.200

INS ARIHANT -2.900

INS ARIHANT -0.156

INS Jalashwa -0.500

INS KOLATA -3.000

SHIVALIK CLASS DESTROYERS -1.200

TALWAR CLASS -1.600

INS Kamorta -0.500

INS SARYU CLASS -0.200

INS CAR NICOBAR CLASS -0.083

INS DEEPAK -17.940

INS MAKAR -13.300

sukhoi -37.636

TEJAS DEVELOPMENT COST -1.300

C-17 -5.800

C-130J -1.500

Beriev A-50 AWECS -1.500

EMB-145 AWECS -0.385

BAE HAWK -1.825

Pilatus PC-7 -1.000

MI-17 -1.300

HAL DHRUV -0.742

MIG-29K -1.500

BOEING P8 -1.500

DORNIER DO 228 -0.266

IAI HAROP -0.100

IAI HERON -0.500

DRDO LAKSHYA -0.019

DRDO NISHANT -0.053

IAI SEARCHER -0.750

ARJUN TANK -0.719

T-90S -2.030

BMP-2 SARATH UPGRADE -1.200

R&D -9.056



SUM TOTAL EXPENSE -114.610







So the rough total i am getting is 114.6096 billion USD. That leaves roughly 21.224 billion USD.



So Guys feel free to check and add items if i have missed something. Objective is to bring down the remaining 21 billions as much down as possible. Remember to ensure that you are not double count any of the items already existing or mentioned by other members.



In conclusion i must say we have spent a lot of money on big ticket items last decade, and now based on the news reports this decade hopefully spending will be increased on foot soldier related equipment like new carbine etc.





Cheers.





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